I received reports today on four different nationwide polls, all of them reaching very similar and fairly consistent conclusions. Among the highlights:
-Hugo Chavez would resoundly lose a recall referendum in August.
-Hugo Chavez has a chance to win an election in which three candidates participate (Chavez plus two more).
-Hugo Chavez would lose an election one on one with any of the major leaders of the opposition.
-Hugo Chavez is rejected by a majority of the population across all social strata. Clearly, the higher the strata the higher the rejection levels, but even in the lowest social levels, 50 percent-plus of the population rejects him.
-Venezuelan society is highly polarized, with 50-plus percept considering itself anti-Chavez and 30-plus percent being pro-Chavez, with less than three to six percent not taking either side.
-The population rejects anything that has to do with the major political parties of the past.
-Unemployment and crime are considered to be the top two problems by the population. The first of these is not fully blamed on Chavez, while the second one definitely is.