Archive for October 1st, 2010

How Chávez lost the popular vote, but won by a landslide in The Washington Post

October 1, 2010

The only thing missing is that they pass a Law that elects as President in 2012 the one that gets fewer votes

HUGO CHÁVEZ must be feeling grateful to the number-crunchers who helped him redraw Venezuela’s congressional districts. The strongman turned last weekend’s National Assembly election into a referendum on himself; he inundated the country with propaganda via the state-controlled media and even refilled government food stores. The result was an unmistakable rebuff. On a day of heavy turnout, 52 percent of voters chose opposition parties, vs. 48 percent for Mr. Chávez’s Socialists.

In a normal democratic country — even in Venezuela itself up until this year — that outcome would have produced something close to a tie between government and non-government deputies in the congress. Instead, thanks to the blatant gerrymandering he ordered, Mr. Chávez probably will have 98 seats, compared with 67 for the main opposition coalition and a small leftist party. That allowed the caudillo to claim victory in a news conference, during which he heaped abuse on a reporter who dared to ask about the discrepancy between votes and seats.

Mr. Chávez, however, didn’t deliver the victory address he had planned from the balcony of the presidential palace — an encouraging sign that he grasps the election’s real implications. In addition to the popular repudiation, the result means that beginning in December, Mr. Chávez should no longer have the ability to rule by decree or to appoint supreme court justices and members of the electoral authority without the opposition’s consent. He also faces the threat that his announced plan to rule Venezuela for at least another decade will be interrupted in 2012, when a presidential election is due that should be decided by majority vote.

There was good reason for Mr. Chávez’s loss: Alone in Latin America, Venezuela is still deep in recession, and it leads the hemisphere in inflation and violent crime. A normal democratic leader might respond by correcting errant or highly unpopular policies, such as Mr. Chávez’s steady nationalization of the economy or his import of Cuban advisers and intelligence operatives. His record, however, suggests that the president will merely step up his attacks on opposition leaders and journalists — a number of whom have been imprisoned or driven into exile — and seek to circumvent the new checks on his power.

Mr. Chávez’s apologists will be pointing to the congressional vote as proof that he still leads a democracy. But in democracies, elections produce consequences in line with the results. In Mr. Chávez’s Venezuela, they usually lead to less democracy.

Correcting Headlines about the election around the world

October 1, 2010

Long time reader and friend John Endres took Johannesburg’s Times to task for reporting Sunday’s election as a victory for Chávez and they published his letter.

Way to go John!

I won’t tell you again by Laureano Marquez in Tal Cual

October 1, 2010
Given the bad intentions that are in opposition sectors and in order that all citizens understand once and for all what happened on Sunday, we offer this statement: As is common knowledge and has already been sufficiently explained in national radio and television on the issue of numerical disparity one must consider the mode and median.  The mode, Mo, is the one with the largest value of absolute frequency.
Where: Li-1 is the lower limit of the modal class. fi is the absolute frequency of the modal class.

fi – 1 is the absolute frequency immediately below the modal class.

fi-1 is the absolute frequency immediately after the modal class.

ai is the amplitude of the class. Where there is evidence of a deep class struggle.

That said, any idiot understands that there is a variance of data grouped according to the following procedure of the Hulk method:

It is then, as can be seen, a choice that has nothing to do with the national, but with the circuital and as demonstrated, it is entirely reasonable and logical that an overstated majority of minority representation that is most in relative terms ratio based on a weighted representation of the elements of territorial differentiation on the basis of who has it larger. Still, size does not matter but the quality of representation.

Put another way: the sum proportion of the population disparities lead all to a decreasing level of representation of circuit factors accumulated more if circuits are negative polarity, which caused some machines will not work.

Everything is in the Law and as legal principle says: “Dura lex, sed lex”, ie the law is the law while it lasts. And we will be hard put to let them get in the coming months, following the principle of Aristobulus, the Greek, “possidetis iuris”, which means, “because I I feel like it, kid .. . so what? “.

Hope this is enough so that it is clear to all and you stop bugging me.

Let it be Communicated and published, God and Federation.

(But most of all Federation) (but centralist) (ie focused on the list) LS (D)

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